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abstract: 'The literature on economic growth has placed special focus on analysing
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the convergence processes between countries and regions. Within the
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growth theories, two alternative approaches have been developed to
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explain the differences observed in per capita income across countries
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over time. Neoclassical growth models predict a process of convergence
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between economies where the relatively poor economies will grow at a
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faster rate than the relatively rich ones, while endogenous growth
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models describe a situation of non-convergence.
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Theoretical developments and empirical studies on convergence have led
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to the development of different definitions of the term and to the use
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of different methodologies for its investigation (Islam, 2003). The
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concepts of sigma and beta convergence have been widely used in
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empirical papers. Sigma convergence refers to the reduction in the per
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capita income dispersion across economies over time, while beta
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convergence refers to the existence of a negative correlation between
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income growth over time and its initial level.
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The concept of absolute or unconditional convergence assumes that per
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capita incomes in the regions will tend to converge in the long term to
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a single steady state, regardless of their initial conditions. In
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contrast, the conditional convergence hypothesis holds that each economy
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converges to its own stationary state, so that economies will converge
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with one another in the long run if they have similar structural
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characteristics (Galor, 1996).
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Neoclassical growth models lead to the hypothesis of conditional
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convergence between economies, but also to the hypothesis of convergence
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clubs, which proposes that regions with similar economic structures can
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converge to different steady states if they start from different initial
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conditions. Therefore, although certain regions have globally
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heterogeneous growth paths, they may be gathered into subgroups that
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exhibit homogeneous growth dynamics.
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At the international level, the empirical evidence confirms the
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existence of convergence clubs between countries (Durlauf and Johnson,
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1995; Canova, 2004, Phillips and Sul, 2007, Monfort et al., 2013, Borsi
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and Metiu, 2015), as well as between regions (Postiglioni et al., 2010;
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Bartkowska and Riedl, 2012; Rodriguez et al., 2016; Tian et al., 2016;
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von Lyncker and Thoennessen, 2016). However, there is still little
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empirical evidence for the existence of convergence clubs in the Spanish
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economy, even though a few papers have been written in this regard.
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Indeed, some research has provided evidence of convergence clubs between
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Spanish regions since the late 1970s, clubs that remain to this day
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(Perez, 2000, Goerlich et al., 2002, Montanes and Olmos, 2014, Brida et
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al., 2015), although none has used a methodology like the one used in
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this article. Perez (2000) notes that the convergence process for per
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capita income in Spain''s Autonomous Communities during the period
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1955-1995 can be characterised by subgroups of regions that converge to
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different stationary states. Goerlich et al. (2002), examining the
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convergence of Spanish regions during the period 19552000, find, by the
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end of the period, the existence of two convergence clubs both when they
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use per capita income and labour productivity as a variable. Brida et
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al. (2015) apply a nonparametric clustering approach to the per capita
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income data of the Spanish Autonomous Communities to analyse regional
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convergence during the period 1955-2009. Their results indicate the
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presence, since the late seventies, of two convergence clubs, one more
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homogeneous composed by the richer regions, and another more
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heterogeneous formed by the remaining regions. They also note that there
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has been more convergence among the regions in the first club and a gap
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between clubs in the last two decades. However, as the authors point
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out, these clubs have not remained stable over time, with their numbers
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ranging from three to five. Finally, Montanes and Olmos (2014), using
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two different indicators, per capita income and an indicator of human
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development, study the possible stochastic convergence between Spanish
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regions for the period 1980-2010. The results show, for the end of the
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period, the existence of two distinct geographical areas (for the two
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indicators used), which is interpreted by the authors as evidence of
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different convergence clubs.
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Bearing this in mind, this paper contributes to the existing literature
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by providing some new evidence on the regional converge process in
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Spain. More specifically, the aim of this work is to analyse whether
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Spanish regions display a full convergence process among them or if, on
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the contrary, they form convergence clubs.
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The contributions of this work are twofold. On the one hand, this paper
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provides new evidence on the existence of regional convergence clubs in
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Spain. On the other hand, even though there are various estimation
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methods that can be applied to test club convergence hypotheses, this
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paper focuses on the implementation of a new methodology, which to the
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best of our knowledge, has not been applied to the Spanish case. In
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particular, this work uses the new panel convergence methodology
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developed by Phillips and Sul (2007).
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Phillips and Sul''s methodology introduces a cross-sectional study, by
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means of an analysis of heterogeneous time series in the parameters of a
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neoclassical growth model, in order to take into account the
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heterogeneity of the transitional temporary variable analysed. This
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approach has clear advantages over other alternative methods. Firstly,
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it can be used to endogenously identify groups of regions converging
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towards the same growth path, and not by applying a predetermined
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criterion. Secondly, although a full convergence hypothesis can be
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rejected, this approach makes it possible to identify convergence clubs
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among regions, as well as the divergent regions. In addition, the speed
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of the convergence parameter can also be estimated with this
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methodology, which allows distinguishing the relative convergence
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empirically.
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The regional convergence process is analysed considering three
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variables: income per capita and its main components, GDP per worker and
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employment per capita for 17 Spanish regions in the period 1980-2008.
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Data comes from the regional dataset BD. MORES.
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The empirical results obtained in this research confirm the existence of
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full convergence for GDP per worker. However, there is also evidence for
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the existence of convergence clubs in terms of both income per capita
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and employment in Spanish regions.
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Regarding income per capita, our findings suggest the existence of three
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convergence clubs, which converge to different income levels: high,
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medium and low; whereas no divergent region was identified.
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With respect to employment per capita, the results are quite similar to
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those above for income per capita. We identify three clubs, but no
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divergent region was detected.
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The composition of clubs respect both variables, income and per capita
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employment, which remained relatively stable in the period analysed.
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Only four regions (Asturias, Cantabria, Castile and Leon and the Basque
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Country) exhibited differences in the composition of the clubs. The
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differences in the clubs'' configuration may be explained by the
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different behaviour of labour productivity in these regions.
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Finally, it is worth noting that this paper is the first step in our
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research. A deeper analysis of the factors responsible for the formation
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of convergence clubs in Spain must be undertaken in order to provide
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useful insight to policy makers regarding the mechanisms needed to
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achieve economic and social cohesion amongst regions.'
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affiliation: 'Gonzalez, MCB (Corresponding Author), Univ La Laguna, San Cristobal
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De La Lagu, Spain.
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Barrios Gonzalez, Ma Candelaria, Univ La Laguna, San Cristobal De La Lagu, Spain.
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Martinez Navarro, Ma Angeles, Univ Cadiz, Cadiz, Spain.'
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author: Barrios Gonzalez, Ma Candelaria and Martinez Navarro, Ma Angeles
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author_list:
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- family: Barrios Gonzalez
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given: Ma Candelaria
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- family: Martinez Navarro
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given: Ma Angeles
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da: '2023-09-28'
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files: []
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issn: 0213-7585
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journal: REVISTA DE ESTUDIOS REGIONALES
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keywords: Convergence clubs; Log t test; Spain; Regional analysis
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keywords-plus: PER-CAPITA; GROWTH; INCOME; INEQUALITY; SPAIN; CLUBS
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language: Spanish
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month: MAY-AUG
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number: '109'
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number-of-cited-references: '54'
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orcid-numbers: 'Flores, Esther/0000-0001-5698-6559
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Martinez Navarro, Maria Angeles/0000-0002-3583-2726'
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pages: 165-190
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papis_id: 1900b027e90b3f97edb19ff03c4a75a9
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ref: Barriosgonzalez2017patternsconvergence
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researcherid-numbers: 'MARTÍNEZ, M. ÁNGELES/AAA-7893-2019
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'
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times-cited: '0'
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title: 'Patterns of convergence in Spanish regions: An application of Phillips-Sul''s
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methodology'
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type: Article
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unique-id: WOS:000424550700007
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usage-count-last-180-days: '0'
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usage-count-since-2013: '6'
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web-of-science-categories: Environmental Studies
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year: '2017'
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