100 lines
3.2 KiB
YAML
100 lines
3.2 KiB
YAML
abstract: 'Unemployment rates in countries across the world are strongly correlated
|
|
|
|
with GDP. China is an unusual outlier from the pattern, whose official
|
|
|
|
government statistics show abnormally low, and suspiciously stable,
|
|
|
|
unemployment rates relative to its GDP. This paper reports estimates of
|
|
|
|
China''s unemployment rate for its local urban Hukou population using a
|
|
|
|
more reliable, nationally representative dataset for that population
|
|
|
|
than in prior work, and which spans a longer period of history than in
|
|
|
|
the past literature. The unemployment rates we calculate differ
|
|
|
|
dramatically from those supplied in official data and are much more
|
|
|
|
consistent with what is known about key historical developments in
|
|
|
|
China''s labor market. The rate averaged 3.7\% in 1988-1995, when the
|
|
|
|
labor market was highly regulated and dominated by state-owned
|
|
|
|
enterprises, but rose sharply during the period of mass layoff from 1995
|
|
|
|
to 2002, reaching an average of 9.5\% in the subperiod from 2002 to
|
|
|
|
2009. The rates were even higher when demographic composition is held
|
|
|
|
fixed. We can also calculate labor force participation rates, which are
|
|
|
|
not available in official statistics at all. We find that they declined
|
|
|
|
throughout the whole period, particularly in 1995-2002 when the
|
|
|
|
unemployment rate increased most significantly. We also find that the
|
|
|
|
impacts of these changes fell most heavily on the unskilled (women,
|
|
|
|
those with less education, and younger individuals). Finally, estimates
|
|
|
|
of unemployment and labor force participation rates are also provided
|
|
|
|
for all urban residents, including migrants without local urban Hukou,
|
|
|
|
and show the same patterns of change over time. (C) 2017 Association for
|
|
|
|
Comparative Economic Studies. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights
|
|
|
|
reserved.'
|
|
affiliation: 'Feng, SZ (Corresponding Author), Jinan Univ, Inst Econ \& Social Res,
|
|
601 Huangpu Ave West, Guangzhou 510632, Guangdong, Peoples R China.
|
|
|
|
Feng, Shuaizhang, Jinan Univ, Inst Econ \& Social Res, 601 Huangpu Ave West, Guangzhou
|
|
510632, Guangdong, Peoples R China.
|
|
|
|
Hu, Yingyao; Moffitt, Robert, Johns Hopkins Univ, Dept Econ, Baltimore, MD 21218
|
|
USA.
|
|
|
|
Moffitt, Robert, NBER, China Working Grp, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA.'
|
|
author: Feng, Shuaizhang and Hu, Yingyao and Moffitt, Robert
|
|
author-email: 'shuaizhang.feng@foxmail.com
|
|
|
|
yhu@jhu.edu
|
|
|
|
moffitt@jhu.edu'
|
|
author_list:
|
|
- family: Feng
|
|
given: Shuaizhang
|
|
- family: Hu
|
|
given: Yingyao
|
|
- family: Moffitt
|
|
given: Robert
|
|
da: '2023-09-28'
|
|
doi: 10.1016/j.jce.2017.02.004
|
|
eissn: 1095-7227
|
|
files: []
|
|
issn: 0147-5967
|
|
journal: JOURNAL OF COMPARATIVE ECONOMICS
|
|
keywords: 'Unemployment rate; Labor force participation rate; China; Economic
|
|
|
|
transition'
|
|
keywords-plus: ECONOMIC-REFORM; CHILD-CARE; INEQUALITY; STATISTICS; GROWTH; INCOME
|
|
language: English
|
|
month: MAY
|
|
number: '2'
|
|
number-of-cited-references: '32'
|
|
pages: 304-324
|
|
papis_id: 4a505ce00e18dbfbcebdae368290c18b
|
|
ref: Feng2017longrun
|
|
times-cited: '42'
|
|
title: Long run trends in unemployment and labor force participation in urban China
|
|
type: article
|
|
unique-id: WOS:000405260300010
|
|
usage-count-last-180-days: '3'
|
|
usage-count-since-2013: '32'
|
|
volume: '45'
|
|
web-of-science-categories: Economics
|
|
year: '2017'
|