afd-development-contexts/notes/benin/2208181309_literature-poverty.md

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[x] Alia2017 - Effect of income growth on poverty exit time

  • looks at (negative) correlation between growth and poverty using 'exit time from poverty'
  • results: (for data 2009-2011)
    • growth rate per capita of 4.2% means average poor household needs 7-10 years to escape poverty
    • stronger growth does lead to shorter avg time to exit from poverty
    • large heterogeneity, HHs size, human capital, rural location important determinants
    • equitable growth requires development of human capital and inclusive/pro-poor growth

[x] WorldBank2022b - World Bank Poverty outlook

  • results:
    • Gini index: 37.8
    • robust real GDP growth pre-Covid (avg 6.4% 2017-2019)
      • real GDP recovered to 6.6% in 2021
    • fiscal deficit deterioration due to socio-economic measures
    • poverty rate based on national poverty line: 38.5% in 2019
      • strong spatial disparities: rural 44.2%, 31.4% urban (12.8% higher for rural)
    • poverty rate based on international line: 18.8% (2019), 18.7% (2020), 18.3% (end of 2021)
      • reduction could be slowed by increased food and energy prices

[x] World Bank - World Development Index

  • Gini coefficients:
    • 2018: 37.8
    • 2015: 47.8
    • 2011: 43.4
    • 2003: 38.6