47 lines
2.5 KiB
YAML
47 lines
2.5 KiB
YAML
cite: Liyanaarachchi2016
|
|
author: Liyanaarachchi, T. S., Naranpanawa, A., & Bandara, J. S.
|
|
year: 2016
|
|
title: "Impact of trade liberalisation on labour market and poverty in Sri Lanka. An integrated macro-micro modelling approach"
|
|
publisher: Economic Modelling
|
|
uri: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2016.07.008
|
|
pubtype: article
|
|
discipline: economy
|
|
|
|
country: Sri Lanka
|
|
period: 2009-2010
|
|
maxlength: 12
|
|
targeting: implicit
|
|
group: workers
|
|
data: national administrative Household Income and Expenditure Survey (HIES)
|
|
|
|
design: simulation
|
|
method: macro-micro computable general equilibrium model
|
|
sample: 19958
|
|
unit: household
|
|
representativeness: national
|
|
causal: 1 # 0 correlation / 1 causal
|
|
|
|
theory:
|
|
limitations: static model not able to account for transition paths; no disaggregated sectoral input-output data available
|
|
observation:
|
|
- intervention: trade liberalization
|
|
institutional: 1
|
|
structural: 1
|
|
agency: 0
|
|
inequality: income
|
|
type: 0 # 0 vertical / 1 horizontal
|
|
indicator: 1 # 0 absolute / 1 relative
|
|
measures: Atkinson index; S-Gini index; Atkinson-Gini index; Entropy index
|
|
findings: reduced absolute poverty for tariff elimination only, mixed results but reduction for tariff elim and fiscal policy changes together; income inequality increases in long-run in all sectors
|
|
channels: increased wage differences (esp for manager, professionals, technicians and urban workers); low-income households more dependent on private/gov transfers which do not increase with trade liberalization
|
|
direction: 1 # -1 neg / 0 none / 1 pos
|
|
significance: 2 # 0 nsg / 1 msg / 2 sg
|
|
|
|
notes:
|
|
annotation: |
|
|
A simulation model on the effects of trade liberalization in Sri Lanka on income inequality and absolute poverty.
|
|
It finds that the complete elimination of tariffs results in an overall reduction in absolute poverty, while tariff elimination with resulting fiscal policy responses to balance the budget would result in more mixed results but still pointing to an absolute reduction in poverty.
|
|
On the other hand, income inequality is seen to increase for most sectors over the short term and for all sectors over the long term.
|
|
The primary channels for this change are increased wage differences --- especially the increased wages for managers, professionals and technicians, as well as increased differences between urban workers ---
|
|
and low-income households being more dependent on private or government transfers, which do not increase with trade liberalization.
|