186 lines
5.8 KiB
YAML
186 lines
5.8 KiB
YAML
abstract: 'Agriculture-based irrigation communities of northern New Mexico have
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survived for centuries despite the arid environment in which they
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reside. These irrigation communities are threatened by regional
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population growth, urbanization, a changing demographic profile,
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economic development, climate change, and other factors. Within this
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context, we investigated the extent to which community resource
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management practices centering on shared resources (e.g., water for
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agricultural in the floodplains and grazing resources in the uplands)
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and mutualism (i.e., shared responsibility of local residents to
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maintaining traditional irrigation policies and upholding cultural and
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spiritual observances) embedded within the community structure influence
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acequia function. We used a system dynamics modeling approach as an
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interdisciplinary platform to integrate these systems, specifically the
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relationship between community structure and resource management. In
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this paper we describe the background and context of acequia communities
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in northern New Mexico and the challenges they face. We formulate a
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Dynamic Hypothesis capturing the endogenous feedbacks driving acequia
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community vitality. Development of the model centered on major
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stock-and-flow components, including linkages for hydrology, ecology,
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community, and economics. Calibration metrics were used for model
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evaluation, including statistical correlation of observed and predicted
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values and Theil inequality statistics. Results indicated that the model
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reproduced trends exhibited by the observed system. Sensitivity analyses
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of socio-cultural processes identified absentee decisions, cumulative
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income effect on time in agriculture, and land use preference due to
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time allocation, community demographic effect, effect of employment on
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participation, and farm size effect as key determinants of system
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behavior and response. Sensitivity analyses of biophysical parameters
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revealed that several key parameters (e.g., acres per animal unit or
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percentage of normal acequia ditch seepage) which created less variable
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system responses but which utilized similar pathways to that of the
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socio-cultural processes (e.g., socio-cultural or physical parameter
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change ! agricultural profit ! time in spent in agriculture ! effect on
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socio-cultural or physical processes). These processes also linked
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through acequia mutualism to create the greatest variability in system
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outputs compared to the remainder of tests. Results also point to the
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important role of community mutualism in sustaining linkages between
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natural and human systems that increase resilience to stressors. Future
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work will explore scenario development and testing, integration with
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upland and downstream models, and comparative analyses between acequia
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communities with distinct social and landscape characteristics.'
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affiliation: 'Turner, BL (Corresponding Author), Texas A\&M Univ Kingsville, Dick
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\& Mary Lewis Coll Agr Nat Resources \& Human, 700 Univ Blvd,MSC 228, Kingsville,
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TX 78363 USA.
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Turner, Benjamin L., Texas A\&M Univ Kingsville, Dick \& Mary Lewis Coll Agr Nat
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Resources \& Human, 700 Univ Blvd,MSC 228, Kingsville, TX 78363 USA.
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Tidwell, Vincent, Sandia Natl Labs, POB 5800, Albuquerque, NM 87185 USA.
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Fernald, Alexander; Hurd, Brian; Boykin, Kenneth; Cibils, Andres, New Mexico State
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Univ, Coll Agr Consumer \& Environm Sci, POB 30003,MSC 3-1, Las Cruces, NM 88003
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USA.
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Rivera, Jose A., Ctr Reg Studies, MSC05 3020,1 Univ New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM
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87131 USA.
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Rodriguez, Sylvia, Dept Anthropol, MSC01-1040,1 Univ New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM
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87131 USA.
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Guldan, Steven, New Mexico State Univ, Sustainable Agr Sci Ctr Alcalde, 371 Cty
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Rd 40,POB 159, Alcalde, NM 87511 USA.
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Ochoa, Carlos, Oregon State Univ, Dept Anim \& Rangeland Sci, 124 Withycombe Hall,
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Corvallis, OR 97331 USA.'
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article-number: '1019'
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author: Turner, Benjamin L. and Tidwell, Vincent and Fernald, Alexander and Rivera,
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Jose A. and Rodriguez, Sylvia and Guldan, Steven and Ochoa, Carlos and Hurd, Brian
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and Boykin, Kenneth and Cibils, Andres
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author-email: 'benjamin.turner@tamuk.edu
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vctidwe@sandia.gov
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afernald@nmsu.edu
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jrivera@unm.edu
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sylrodri@unm.edu
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sguldan@nmsu.edu
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carlos.ochoa@oregonstate.edu
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bhurd@nmsu.edu
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kboykin@nmsu.edu
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acibils@nmsu.edu'
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author_list:
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- family: Turner
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given: Benjamin L.
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- family: Tidwell
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given: Vincent
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- family: Fernald
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given: Alexander
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- family: Rivera
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given: Jose A.
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- family: Rodriguez
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given: Sylvia
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- family: Guldan
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given: Steven
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- family: Ochoa
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given: Carlos
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- family: Hurd
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given: Brian
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- family: Boykin
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given: Kenneth
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- family: Cibils
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given: Andres
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da: '2023-09-28'
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doi: 10.3390/su8101019
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eissn: 2071-1050
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files: []
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journal: SUSTAINABILITY
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keywords: 'acequia irrigation; community sustainability; system dynamics; coupled
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natural-human systems; connected hydrologic-human systems; dynamic
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hypothesis; leverage points; model development; sensitivity analysis'
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keywords-plus: WATER; SIMULATION; ENVIRONMENT; VALIDATION
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language: English
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month: OCT
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number: '10'
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number-of-cited-references: '55'
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orcid-numbers: 'Boykin, Ken/0000-0001-6381-0463
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Ochoa, Carlos G/0000-0002-4958-919X'
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papis_id: db6cfc9eb3a2db33a6e355f3fa25129d
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ref: Turner2016modelingacequia
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researcherid-numbers: 'Boykin, Ken/D-2863-2009
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'
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times-cited: '29'
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title: 'Modeling Acequia Irrigation Systems Using System Dynamics: Model Development,
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Evaluation, and Sensitivity Analyses to Investigate Effects of Socio-Economic and
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Biophysical Feedbacks'
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type: article
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unique-id: WOS:000389314600059
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usage-count-last-180-days: '1'
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usage-count-since-2013: '44'
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volume: '8'
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web-of-science-categories: 'Green \& Sustainable Science \& Technology; Environmental
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Sciences;
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Environmental Studies'
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year: '2016'
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