afd-development-contexts/notes/vietnam/2208151026_literature-economic-changes.md

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2022-08-15 12:16:27 +00:00
### Missing
* informal/formal switches and stats
### [ ] vandeWalle2004
results:
* looks at causes of poverty and incidence and participation in rural off-farm activities (1993-1998)
* some common causative factors, education, region of residence
* however generally processes determining both are not the same
* participation in rural non-farm market economy allows *some* route out of poverty but certainly not all
### [ ] McCaig2013
results:
* analyzing structural economic changes 1990-2008
* structural changes account for 1/3rd of labor productivity growth (which was ~5.1% per year)
* move from agriculture toward services and manufacturing, from household businesses to firms in enterprise sector, reallocation of workers from state-owned to private domestic and foreign owned firms
* especially manufacturing grew (8->14% of workforce)
primary determinants: changes in trade policy, expansion of employment in foreign owned firms, declining role of state owned enterprises
### [ ] McCaig2014
results:
* effects of US-Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement (positive export shock), due to large US tariff reductions on Vietnamese exports
* increased 5% share of manufacturing workers
* slightly increased gap of labor productivity
### [ ] McCaig2015
results:
* effects of economic changes to workforce transitions informal -> formal
* younger workers, esp migrants, more likely to work in formal sector and stay in it
* decline in aggregate share in informal employment bc of changes between and within birth cohorts
* younger, educated, male, urban workers more likely to switch than others
* little educated, older, female, rural workers least likely to switch
* formalization coincides with occupational upgrading