afd-development-contexts/notes/benin/2208181309_literature-poverty.md

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2022-08-18 14:20:53 +00:00
### [x] Alia2017 - Effect of income growth on poverty exit time
* looks at (negative) correlation between growth and poverty using 'exit time from poverty'
* results: (for data 2009-2011)
* growth rate per capita of 4.2% means average poor household needs 7-10 years to escape poverty
* stronger growth does lead to shorter avg time to exit from poverty
* large heterogeneity, HHs size, human capital, rural location important determinants
* equitable growth requires development of human capital and inclusive/pro-poor growth
### [x] WorldBank2022b - World Bank Poverty outlook
* results:
* Gini index: 37.8
* robust real GDP growth pre-Covid (avg 6.4% 2017-2019)
* real GDP recovered to 6.6% in 2021
* fiscal deficit deterioration due to socio-economic measures
* poverty rate based on national poverty line: 38.5% in 2019
* strong spatial disparities: rural 44.2%, 31.4% urban (12.8% higher for rural)
* poverty rate based on international line: 18.8% (2019), 18.7% (2020), 18.3% (end of 2021)
* reduction could be slowed by increased food and *energy prices*
### [x] World Bank - World Development Index
* Gini coefficients:
* 2018: 37.8
* 2015: 47.8
* 2011: 43.4
* 2003: 38.6