abstract: 'Background: The relative importance of income, poverty and unemployment status for mental health is unclear, and understanding this has implications for income and welfare policy design. We aimed to assess the association between changes in these exposures and mental health. Methods: We measured effects of three transition exposures between waves of the UK Household Longitudinal Study from 2010/11-2019/20 (n=38,697, obs=173,859): income decreases/increases, moving in/out of poverty, and job losses/gains. The outcome was General Health Questionnaire (GHQ), which measures likelihood of common mental disorder (CMD) as a continuous (GHQ-36) and binary measure (score =4 = case). We used fixed-effects linear and linear probability models to adjust for time invariant and time-varying confounders. To investigate effect modification, we stratified analyses by age, sex and highest education. Results: A 10\% income decrease/increase was associated with a 0.02\% increase (95\% CI 0.00, 0.04) and 0.01\% reduction (95\% CI -0.03, 0.02) in likelihood of CMD respectively. Effect sizes were larger for moving into poverty (+1.8\% {[}0.2, 3.5]), out of poverty (1.8\%, {[}-3.2, 0.3]), job loss (+15.8\%, {[}13.6, 18.0]) and job gain (11.4\%, {[}-14.4, 8.4]). The effect of new poverty was greater for women (+2.3\% {[}0.8, 3.9] versus +1.2\% {[}-1.1, 3.5] for men) but the opposite was true for job loss (+17.8\% {[}14.4, 21.2] for men versus +13.5\% {[}9.8, 17.2] for women). There were no clear differences by age, but those with least education experienced the largest effects from poverty transitions, especially moving out of poverty (2.9\%, {[}-5.7, 0.0]). Conclusions: Moving into unemployment was most strongly associated with CMD, with poverty also important but income effects generally much smaller. Men appear most sensitive to employment transitions, but poverty may have larger impacts on women and those with least education. As the COVID-19 pandemic recedes, minimising unemployment as well as poverty is crucial for population mental health.' affiliation: 'Katikireddi, SV (Corresponding Author), Univ Glasgow, MRC CSO Social \& Publ Hlth Sci Unit, Berkeley Sq,99 Berkeley St, Glasgow G3 7HR, Lanark, Scotland. Kromydas, Theocharis; Thomson, Rachel M.; Pulford, Andrew; Green, Michael J.; Katikireddi, S. Vittal, Univ Glasgow, MRC CSO Social \& Publ Hlth Sci Unit, Berkeley Sq,99 Berkeley St, Glasgow G3 7HR, Lanark, Scotland. Pulford, Andrew; Katikireddi, S. Vittal, Publ Hlth Scotland, Edinburgh, Midlothian, Scotland.' article-number: '100909' author: Kromydas, Theocharis and Thomson, Rachel M. and Pulford, Andrew and Green, Michael J. and Katikireddi, S. Vittal author-email: Vittal.Katikireddi@glasgow.ac.uk author_list: - family: Kromydas given: Theocharis - family: Thomson given: Rachel M. - family: Pulford given: Andrew - family: Green given: Michael J. - family: Katikireddi given: S. Vittal da: '2023-09-28' doi: 10.1016/j.ssmph.2021.100909 earlyaccessdate: SEP 2021 files: [] issn: 2352-8273 journal: SSM-POPULATION HEALTH keywords: Mental health; Income; Poverty; Employment; Welfare; Health inequalities keywords-plus: 'DEPRESSIVE SYMPTOMS; INCOME; DISORDERS; WELL; UNEMPLOYMENT; PREVALENCE; HAPPINESS; POLICIES; IMPACT; CHILD' language: English month: SEP number-of-cited-references: '52' orcid-numbers: 'Thomson, Rachel/0000-0002-3060-939X Katikireddi, Srinivasa/0000-0001-6593-9092 Pulford, Andrew/0000-0001-8378-3431 Green, Michael/0000-0003-3193-2452' papis_id: 15ac5e0b3a8b5850b9fc5fc5d0cc00ec ref: Kromydas2021whichis researcherid-numbers: 'Green, Michael J/E-8370-2012 ' times-cited: '11' title: 'Which is most important for mental health: Money, poverty, or paid work? A fixed-effects analysis of the UK Household Longitudinal Study' type: article unique-id: WOS:000697998100090 usage-count-last-180-days: '0' usage-count-since-2013: '15' volume: '15' web-of-science-categories: Public, Environmental \& Occupational Health year: '2021'