abstract: 'Applying work by Green and Henseke (in IZA J Labor Policy 5(1):14,

  2016a), this study examines changes in the German graduate labour market

  in the twenty-first century. To do so, it deploys a new statistically

  derived indicator of graduate jobs, based on job skill requirements

  obtained from worker-reported task data in the German Employment Surveys

  2006 and 2012. As in previous work, the resulting classifier explains

  differences in graduate labour market outcomes better than existing

  methods and can be applied in a range of contexts where intelligence on

  graduate destinations is desired. It is supplied in the appendix of this

  study. Despite the expansion of higher educational attainment between

  1999 and 2012, my analysis indicates a rising excess demand for graduate

  labour. Following key findings emerge: Graduate skills are required

  beyond the narrow range of professions. Work tasks associated with

  cognitive skills use are key determinants of higher education

  requirements on the job.The proportion of graduates in the age bracket

  25-34 has risen among men from 14.7 to 18.9\% and from 13.3 to 22.5\%

  among women between 1999 and 2012. Young women have become the group

  with greatest level of higher education in the labour market.The growing

  supply of graduate labour in the age bracket 25-34 was surpassed by the

  expansion of employment in graduate jobs. The employment share of

  graduate jobs shifted by 17 percentage points to almost 30\% among young

  women and by 11 percentage points to 28\% among young men.Among young

  female graduates, the incidence ofunderemployment fell to 22\% between

  1999 and 2012; roughly comparable to the level among males at the same

  ages. Prime aged female graduates, however, experience above average

  rates of underemployment.A sharp rise of the pay premium associated with

  higher education among men contrasts with stagnating wage differentials

  among women.The pay penalty associated with underemployment has not

  changed statistically significantly.'
affiliation: 'Henseke, G (Corresponding Author), UCL Inst Educ, Ctr Global Higher
  Educ, 20 Bedford Way, London WC1H 0AL, England.

  Henseke, Golo, UCL Inst Educ, Ctr Global Higher Educ, 20 Bedford Way, London WC1H
  0AL, England.'
author: Henseke, Golo
author-email: g.henseke@ucl.ac.uk
author_list:
- family: Henseke
  given: Golo
da: '2023-09-28'
doi: 10.1007/s11205-018-1839-x
eissn: 1573-0921
files: []
issn: 0303-8300
journal: SOCIAL INDICATORS RESEARCH
keywords: Higher education; Graduate jobs; Underemployment; Wages; Wage dispersion
keywords-plus: 'HIGHER-EDUCATION; TECHNOLOGICAL-CHANGE; WAGE INEQUALITY; MATCHING
  MODEL;

  SKILL; OVEREDUCATION; SYSTEM; IMPACT; UNDEREDUCATION; PARTICIPATION'
language: English
month: JAN
number: '2'
number-of-cited-references: '76'
orcid-numbers: Henseke, Golo/0000-0003-0669-2100
pages: 809-840
papis_id: f21e24384f3d2adf8b2ed7dbf7946bb8
ref: Henseke2019grainassessing
researcherid-numbers: Henseke, Golo/AAP-2603-2020
times-cited: '5'
title: Against the Grain? Assessing Graduate Labour Market Trends in Germany Through
  a Task-Based Indicator of Graduate Jobs
type: Article
unique-id: WOS:000457606800014
usage-count-last-180-days: '1'
usage-count-since-2013: '10'
volume: '141'
web-of-science-categories: Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary; Sociology
year: '2019'