### [x] Alia2017 - Effect of income growth on poverty exit time * looks at (negative) correlation between growth and poverty using 'exit time from poverty' * results: (for data 2009-2011) * growth rate per capita of 4.2% means average poor household needs 7-10 years to escape poverty * stronger growth does lead to shorter avg time to exit from poverty * large heterogeneity, HHs size, human capital, rural location important determinants * equitable growth requires development of human capital and inclusive/pro-poor growth ### [x] WorldBank2022b - World Bank Poverty outlook * results: * Gini index: 37.8 * robust real GDP growth pre-Covid (avg 6.4% 2017-2019) * real GDP recovered to 6.6% in 2021 * fiscal deficit deterioration due to socio-economic measures * poverty rate based on national poverty line: 38.5% in 2019 * strong spatial disparities: rural 44.2%, 31.4% urban (12.8% higher for rural) * poverty rate based on international line: 18.8% (2019), 18.7% (2020), 18.3% (end of 2021) * reduction could be slowed by increased food and *energy prices* ### [x] World Bank - World Development Index * Gini coefficients: * 2018: 37.8 * 2015: 47.8 * 2011: 43.4 * 2003: 38.6